The proposed model aims to address key challenges in the agricultural sector of Bangladesh, including limited knowledge of appropriate crop selection based on soil nutrition, weather forecasting limitations, and vulnerability to pests and diseases. The methodology involves the following steps:
Location-based soil nutrition extraction: The model determines the closest sub-district (agro-meteorological zone) to the user's location using the Haversine formula and extracts the relevant soil nutrition information.
Primary crops selection: Based on the soil nutrition data, the model identifies a list of primary cultivable crops that are suitable for the given location.
Weather parameter forecasting: The model employs the SARIMAX time series model to forecast temperature, rainfall, and humidity for the user's location.
Crop disease prediction: Using the predicted weather parameters and the list of primary crops, the model leverages a Support Vector Classifier (SVC) to forecast the possible diseases for each crop.
Crop production prediction: The model applies a Decision Tree Regression (DTR) technique to predict the production of the primary crops based on the soil nutrition, weather forecasts, and other relevant factors.
Final crop recommendation: The model generates a final list of recommended crops, ranked by their predicted production, along with the associated disease forecasts. This information helps farmers make informed decisions to maximize crop yield and profitability while mitigating disease risks.
The proposed framework integrates various datasets, including soil nutrition, crop nutrition, crop production, crop diseases, and historical weather data, to provide a comprehensive decision support system for Bangladeshi farmers. The comparative analysis of the prediction models demonstrates the effectiveness of the SVC for disease prediction and the DTR for crop production forecasting.
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by Forkan Uddin... um arxiv.org 03-29-2024
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2403.19273.pdfTiefere Fragen