本文提出了一種基於雙重次級常態逆高斯 Lévy 過程和風險回報率的新方法,用於識別金融市場中的不確定性衝擊,並證明其比僅依賴 VIX 或其時變波動性的傳統方法更有效。
本稿では、S&P 500オプション価格に二重従属正規逆ガウス(NIG)レヴィ過程を適用することで、従来のVIXを超える、より包括的なボラティリティ指標であるVVIXを構築し、金融市場における不確実性ショックを特定するための新しいアプローチを提示する。
This paper proposes a novel method for identifying uncertainty shocks in financial markets by constructing a revised VIX using a double-subordinated NIG Lévy process, which captures the heavy-tailed nature of asset returns and incorporates risk-reward ratios to analyze volatility signals.
This paper introduces a new type of risk, common idiosyncratic quantile (CIQ) risk, which captures common movements in the quantiles of idiosyncratic asset returns and offers a more nuanced understanding of risk beyond traditional volatility and downside risk measures.
Building wealth requires adopting key financial practices such as saving, investing, financial education, setting goals, and exploring various investment avenues like starting a business or investing in stocks and real estate.
Non-zero alpha in linear asset pricing models, often overlooked, presents exploitable opportunities for constructing "phi-portfolios" that can outperform traditional mean-variance portfolios, especially when considering factor strengths and employing a bias-corrected estimator for risk premia.
Bitcoin investors are compensated for risk through a significant Bitcoin Premium (BP) and Variance Risk Premium (VRP), particularly in low-volatility market regimes where downside risk is perceived as more substantial.
Billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller's decision to short US Treasury bonds reflects his belief that the Federal Reserve's attempts to control inflation will be insufficient, leading to a decline in the bond market.
저명한 투자자 제레미 그랜섬은 현재의 상황이 모든 자산 거품이며, 곧 경기 침체와 함께 S&P 500 지수가 50% 추가 하락할 가능성이 높다고 경고합니다.
Jeremy Grantham, a respected investor with a history of accurately predicting market bubbles, believes there is a high probability of an impending recession and stock market correction.