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Large Language Models Exhibit Bias Towards Forward Planning: A Flipped-Problem Approach to Enhance Backward Planning


Core Concepts
While Large Language Models (LLMs) show promise in planning tasks, they exhibit a significant bias towards forward planning. This paper introduces a novel approach of "flipping" the problem, allowing LLMs to plan forward on the inverted task, thereby mitigating the backward bias and improving overall planning success.
Abstract
  • Bibliographic Information: Ren, A. Z., Ichter, B., & Majumdar, A. (2024). Thinking Forward and Backward: Effective Backward Planning with Large Language Models. arXiv preprint arXiv:2411.01790v1.
  • Research Objective: This paper investigates the effectiveness of backward planning with LLMs and proposes a method to overcome the inherent forward bias observed in these models.
  • Methodology: The researchers evaluate LLM planning performance on three classical planning domains: Graph Planning, Array Transformation, and Blocksworld. They quantify the asymmetry between forward and backward planning by calculating the computational steps required by Breadth-First Search (BFS) in each direction. To address the LLM's backward planning bias, they introduce a "problem-flipping" approach, where the LLM plans forward on the inverted task. They then employ self-verification techniques to select the best plan from multiple candidates generated in both forward and flipped directions.
  • Key Findings: The study reveals that LLMs demonstrate a consistent bias towards forward planning, achieving lower success rates when tasked with backward planning. However, the proposed "problem-flipping" method significantly improves backward planning performance, leading to a 4-24% increase in overall success rates compared to forward-only planning. This improvement is attributed to the generation of more diverse candidate plans and the ability to exploit inherent problem asymmetries.
  • Main Conclusions: The authors conclude that while LLMs exhibit a natural inclination towards forward planning, their backward planning capabilities can be substantially enhanced by employing a problem-flipping approach. This strategy enables LLMs to overcome their inherent bias and leverage the advantages of backward planning in suitable problem domains.
  • Significance: This research contributes valuable insights into the planning capabilities and limitations of LLMs. The proposed problem-flipping method offers a practical solution to enhance LLM-based planning in various domains, potentially leading to more efficient and successful problem-solving.
  • Limitations and Future Research: The study primarily focuses on three specific planning domains. Further research is needed to assess the generalizability of the findings and the effectiveness of the proposed method across a wider range of planning tasks. Additionally, exploring alternative approaches to improve backward reasoning in LLMs, such as fine-tuning with backward reasoning traces, could further enhance their planning capabilities.
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Stats
Combining planning in both directions with self-verification improves the overall planning success rates by 4-24% in three planning domains. Fwd-Flip improves the overall success rate in multiple planning domains by 4-24%. The LLM can choose the easier direction 78.5% of the time with undirected graphs and 60.5% of the time with directed graphs.
Quotes
"Our experiments also reveal systematic biases which lead to poor planning in the backward direction." "This helps avoid the backward bias, generate more diverse candidate plans, and exploit asymmetries between the forward and backward directions in planning problems." "We find that combining planning in both directions with self-verification improves the overall planning success rates by 4-24% in three planning domains."

Deeper Inquiries

How might this "problem-flipping" approach be adapted for more complex planning scenarios involving real-world constraints and uncertainties?

Adapting the "problem-flipping" approach for complex real-world scenarios presents several challenges: Irreversible Actions: The paper assumes actions can be inverted. In real-world scenarios, many actions are irreversible (e.g., baking a cake). The approach would need to be modified to handle such actions, perhaps by identifying irreversible steps and planning around them. Uncertainty and Partial Observability: Real-world planning often involves incomplete information and unpredictable outcomes. The current method relies on deterministic state transitions. Incorporating probabilistic models of actions and state estimation techniques would be crucial. Continuous State and Action Spaces: The domains explored in the paper have discrete states and actions. Real-world problems often involve continuous spaces (e.g., robot navigation). Adapting the approach would require integrating with methods that can handle such spaces, like sampling-based planners or continuous optimization techniques. Dynamic Environments: The paper assumes a static environment. Real-world environments change dynamically (e.g., traffic conditions). The approach would need to be extended to incorporate time-varying factors and replanning capabilities. Constraint Representation: Real-world problems often involve complex constraints (e.g., resource limitations, temporal deadlines). Effectively representing and reasoning about these constraints within the problem-flipping framework would be essential. Addressing these challenges might involve: Hybrid Planning: Combining LLM-based reasoning with classical planning techniques that are better suited for handling uncertainty, continuous spaces, and constraints. Probabilistic Flipping: Instead of deterministic flipping, introduce probabilistic models of actions and states to account for uncertainty. Hierarchical Planning: Decompose complex tasks into sub-tasks, some of which might be more amenable to backward planning than others.

Could the observed forward bias in LLMs be a reflection of the inherent structure of language and human thought processes, which often prioritize a forward flow of information?

The observed forward bias in LLMs could indeed stem from the inherent structure of language and human thought: Language as a Sequential Process: Language is inherently sequential, with words and sentences unfolding linearly. This structure might predispose LLMs, trained on massive text data, towards a forward flow of information. Causality and Time: Human cognition is deeply rooted in understanding causality, which typically flows forward in time. We reason from causes to effects. This bias towards forward causality might be reflected in the way LLMs learn and process information. Cognitive Load: Backward reasoning often demands higher cognitive load compared to forward reasoning. LLMs, while powerful, might still be more prone to following the path of least resistance, leading to a forward bias. However, it's crucial to acknowledge that: Humans Can Reason Backward: While we might have a forward bias, humans are capable of sophisticated backward reasoning, especially in problem-solving and planning. LLMs are Not Human Minds: Directly mapping LLM behavior to human cognition can be misleading. LLMs are statistical models, and their biases might arise from training data and architectural constraints, not necessarily mirroring human thought processes. Further research is needed to disentangle the factors contributing to the forward bias in LLMs and understand the extent to which it reflects human cognition.

If LLMs can learn to effectively plan both forward and backward, could this ability be leveraged to develop more creative problem-solving strategies that go beyond linear thinking?

The ability to effectively plan both forward and backward could indeed unlock more creative problem-solving strategies in LLMs: Breaking Free from Linearity: Combining forward and backward planning allows exploration of the problem space from multiple angles, potentially uncovering novel solutions that wouldn't be apparent with a purely linear approach. Analogy and Pattern Recognition: Backward planning could facilitate finding analogies between the goal state and previously encountered states, even if the path from the initial state seems dissimilar. This could lead to creative leaps in problem-solving. Means-Ends Analysis: Effective bidirectional planning aligns well with the concept of means-ends analysis, a powerful problem-solving strategy where the solver identifies differences between the current state and the goal state and then searches for actions to bridge those differences. Constraint Satisfaction: In complex problems with multiple constraints, backward planning can help reason about which constraints are most critical to satisfy early on, guiding the search for solutions in a more focused and potentially creative manner. Imagine an LLM tasked with designing a novel product. Forward planning might lead to incremental improvements on existing designs. However, backward planning from a desired functionality or user experience could spark entirely new concepts and approaches. Realizing this potential requires overcoming current limitations and developing new techniques: Representational Richness: LLMs need richer representations of problems, including constraints, uncertainties, and hierarchies, to effectively leverage bidirectional planning for creative problem-solving. Evaluation of Creativity: Defining and evaluating "creativity" in LLM-generated solutions remains an open challenge. Metrics beyond novelty and usefulness might be needed to capture the essence of creative problem-solving.
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