The article presents methods for analyzing differences in responses between two populations, where each response from one population corresponds to a response from the other population at the same value of an ordinal covariate.
The key highlights and insights are:
Cumulative graphs: The graphs of cumulative weighted differences reveal differences in responses as a function of the covariate. The slope of the secant line connecting two points on the graph becomes the average difference in responses over the interval of values of the covariate between the two points.
Scalar metrics: The article proposes two scalar metrics to summarize the overall differences across all values of the covariate:
Statistical significance: The article provides a method to assess the statistical significance of the cumulative graphs and scalar metrics under the null hypothesis of no difference in expected responses between the two populations.
Comparison to reliability diagrams: The article reviews the traditional semi-parametric "reliability diagrams" and demonstrates how the cumulative graphs and scalar metrics can provide clearer and more informative insights compared to reliability diagrams, which depend heavily on the choice of bins.
The article applies the proposed methods to both synthetic data and real-world data sets, illustrating the advantages of the cumulative approach over conventional techniques.
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arxiv.org
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