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insight - Computer Security and Privacy - # Conspiracy Theory Detection

Automated Detection of Conspiracy Theories in German-Language Telegram Messages Using Large Language Models


Conceitos essenciais
Large language models can effectively detect conspiracy theories in German-language Telegram messages, with supervised fine-tuning and prompt-based approaches achieving comparable performance.
Resumo

The article presents a comprehensive evaluation of supervised fine-tuning and prompt-based approaches for the automated detection of conspiracy theories in German-language Telegram messages. The authors utilize the TelCovACT dataset, which contains around 4,000 messages randomly sampled from public Telegram channels known for disseminating conspiracy narratives during the COVID-19 pandemic, without relying on keyword-based filtering.

The supervised fine-tuning approach using the BERT-based model TelConGBERT achieves an F1 score of 0.79 for the positive class (conspiracy theory) and a macro-averaged F1 score of 0.85 on the test set. This performance is comparable to models trained on English keyword-based online datasets. The model also demonstrates moderate to good transferability when applied to data from later time ranges and a broader set of channels.

The authors also evaluate prompt-based approaches using the large language models GPT-3.5, GPT-4, and Llama 2. The best performing model is GPT-4, which achieves an F1 score of 0.79 for the positive class in a zero-shot setting when provided with a custom definition of conspiracy theories. The performance of GPT-3.5 and Llama 2 is less robust, with their outputs being sensitive to minor prompt variations.

The article further analyzes the models' performance in relation to the fragmentation of conspiracy narratives, finding that both TelConGBERT and GPT-4 struggle more with highly fragmented narratives. While the two models achieve comparable overall performance, their predictions disagree on 15% of the test data, suggesting differences in their underlying reasoning.

The authors discuss the practical implications of their findings, highlighting the trade-offs between supervised fine-tuning and prompt-based approaches in terms of resource requirements and robustness. They also outline plans for future work, including collaborating with NGOs to optimize the real-world deployment of TelConGBERT and exploring strategies for efficiently updating the training data.

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Estatísticas
The dataset used in this study, TelCovACT, contains around 4,000 German-language messages from public Telegram channels known for disseminating conspiracy narratives during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Citações
"The automated detection of conspiracy theories online typically relies on supervised learning. However, creating respective training data requires expertise, time and mental resilience, given the often harmful content." "Our work addresses the task of detecting conspiracy theories in German Telegram messages. We compare the performance of supervised fine-tuning approaches using BERT-like models with prompt-based approaches using Llama2, GPT-3.5, and GPT-4 which require little or no additional training data." "Our findings demonstrate that both approaches can be leveraged effectively: For supervised fine-tuning, we report an F1 score of ∼0.8 for the positive class, making our model comparable to recent models trained on keyword-focused English corpora."

Perguntas Mais Profundas

How can the insights from this study be applied to detect conspiracy theories in other languages and on different social media platforms?

The insights from this study can be applied to detect conspiracy theories in other languages and on different social media platforms by leveraging the methodologies and models developed in the research. For detecting conspiracy theories in other languages, researchers can adapt the supervised fine-tuning and prompt-based approaches used in this study to train models on datasets in different languages. They can utilize pre-trained language models like BERT and GPT, fine-tune them on language-specific datasets, and experiment with prompt-based classification to detect conspiracy theories effectively. When it comes to different social media platforms, the models and approaches developed in this study can be tailored to the specific characteristics and content of each platform. Researchers can collect data from platforms like Twitter, Facebook, or Reddit, annotate them for conspiracy theories, and train models accordingly. They can also explore the use of different prompts and definitions to optimize model performance on diverse social media platforms. By adapting and fine-tuning the models based on the unique features of each platform, researchers can enhance the detection of conspiracy theories across various languages and social media channels.

How can the potential ethical and privacy concerns associated with the large-scale automated detection of conspiracy theories be addressed?

The large-scale automated detection of conspiracy theories raises several ethical and privacy concerns that need to be addressed to ensure responsible and ethical use of the technology. Some potential concerns include: Privacy Protection: To address privacy concerns, researchers and organizations should anonymize and aggregate data to protect the identities of individuals whose content is being analyzed. Implementing data protection measures, such as encryption and secure data storage, can also help safeguard user privacy. Bias and Fairness: It is essential to mitigate bias in the data and models used for conspiracy theory detection to ensure fair and unbiased outcomes. Researchers should regularly audit models for bias, diversity, and fairness, and take corrective actions to address any disparities. Transparency and Accountability: Transparency in the detection process is crucial to build trust with users and stakeholders. Providing clear explanations of how the models work, what data is being analyzed, and how decisions are made can enhance accountability and transparency. Informed Consent: Users should be informed about the collection and analysis of their data for conspiracy theory detection. Obtaining informed consent and allowing users to opt-out of data collection can empower individuals to make informed choices about their data. Regulatory Compliance: Adhering to data protection regulations and guidelines, such as GDPR and CCPA, is essential to ensure compliance with legal requirements and protect user rights. By addressing these ethical and privacy concerns through transparent practices, privacy protection measures, bias mitigation strategies, and regulatory compliance, researchers and organizations can conduct large-scale automated detection of conspiracy theories responsibly and ethically.

How can the reasoning and decision-making processes of the language models used in this study be further investigated and improved to enhance their transparency and interpretability?

To enhance the transparency and interpretability of the reasoning and decision-making processes of language models used in this study, several approaches can be taken: Explainability Techniques: Researchers can employ explainability techniques, such as attention maps, saliency maps, and feature importance scores, to visualize and interpret the model's decision-making process. These techniques can provide insights into which parts of the input data are most influential in the model's predictions. Interpretation of Prompt Responses: Analyzing the prompt responses generated by the models can offer valuable insights into how the models interpret and process information. Researchers can study the generated text to understand the reasoning behind the model's predictions and decisions. Error Analysis: Conducting thorough error analysis can help identify patterns in the model's mistakes and areas for improvement. By analyzing misclassifications and discrepancies in predictions, researchers can gain a deeper understanding of the model's decision-making process. Human-AI Collaboration: Encouraging human-AI collaboration can enhance the interpretability of language models. By involving domain experts in the analysis of model outputs and decisions, researchers can validate the model's reasoning and ensure that it aligns with human understanding. Model Transparency Reports: Creating model transparency reports that document the model architecture, training data, evaluation metrics, and decision-making processes can enhance the transparency of language models. These reports can provide stakeholders with detailed information about the model's inner workings and facilitate trust in its predictions. By implementing these strategies and techniques, researchers can further investigate and improve the reasoning and decision-making processes of language models to enhance their transparency, interpretability, and trustworthiness.
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