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Provably Robust Conformal Prediction with Improved Efficiency


المفاهيم الأساسية
This paper proposes a novel framework called RSCP+ to provide provable robustness guarantee for conformal prediction methods against adversarial attacks. It also introduces two new methods, Post-Training Transformation (PTT) and Robust Conformal Training (RCT), to effectively reduce the size of prediction sets with little computational overhead.
الملخص
The paper addresses two key limitations of the previous Randomized Smoothed Conformal Prediction (RSCP) method: Robustness Guarantee: The authors identify a flaw in the robustness certification of RSCP and propose a new scheme called RSCP+ to provide provable robustness guarantee in practice. RSCP uses randomized smoothing to construct a new non-conformity score that is robust to adversarial perturbations. However, RSCP's robustness guarantee is flawed when Monte Carlo sampling is used for randomized smoothing, which is the common practice. To address this, the authors propose RSCP+ which directly uses the Monte Carlo estimator as the base score and derives a new robustness guarantee. Efficiency: The authors show that directly applying RSCP+ often leads to trivial prediction sets that give the entire label set, due to the conservativeness of RSCP. To improve efficiency, the authors propose two new methods: Post-Training Transformation (PTT): A scalable, training-free method that applies a two-step transformation (ranking and sigmoid) on the base score to reduce the conservativeness. Robust Conformal Training (RCT): A general training framework that incorporates the RSCP+ process into the training of the base classifier to further boost efficiency. The experimental results on CIFAR10, CIFAR100 and ImageNet demonstrate that the baseline method only yields trivial predictions, while the authors' proposed methods can boost the efficiency by up to 4.36×, 5.46×, and 16.9× respectively, while providing practical robustness guarantee.
الإحصائيات
The average size of prediction sets on CIFAR10 is reduced from 10 (baseline) to 2.294 (PTT) and 2.294 (PTT+RCT). The average size of prediction sets on CIFAR100 is reduced from 100 (baseline) to 26.06 (PTT) and 18.30 (PTT+RCT). The average size of prediction sets on ImageNet is reduced from 1000 (baseline) to 94.66 (PTT) and 59.12 (PTT+Bernstein).
اقتباسات
None.

الرؤى الأساسية المستخلصة من

by Ge Yan,Yaniv... في arxiv.org 05-01-2024

https://arxiv.org/pdf/2404.19651.pdf
Provably Robust Conformal Prediction with Improved Efficiency

استفسارات أعمق

How can the proposed methods be extended to handle label noise in the training data, which is common in real-world applications

To extend the proposed methods to handle label noise in the training data, we can incorporate techniques for robust learning. One approach is to introduce data augmentation strategies that can help the model generalize better to noisy labels. This can involve techniques like mixup, label smoothing, or curriculum learning to make the model more resilient to label noise. Additionally, we can explore semi-supervised learning methods that leverage unlabeled data to improve the model's robustness to noisy labels. By incorporating these strategies into the training pipeline, we can enhance the model's ability to handle label noise in real-world applications.

What are the potential limitations or failure cases of the PTT method, and how can they be addressed

One potential limitation of the PTT method is that it may not always improve efficiency, especially in cases where the ranking transformation does not effectively reduce the conservativeness of the model. In such scenarios, the PTT method may not lead to a significant reduction in the size of prediction sets. To address this limitation, it is essential to carefully tune the hyperparameters of the PTT method, such as the temperature parameter in the sigmoid transformation and the size of the holdout set. Additionally, conducting thorough empirical studies on different datasets and model architectures can help identify scenarios where PTT may not be as effective and provide insights into potential adjustments or alternative approaches.

Can the ideas behind RSCP+ and the proposed efficiency-boosting methods be applied to other uncertainty quantification techniques beyond conformal prediction

The ideas behind RSCP+ and the proposed efficiency-boosting methods can be applied to other uncertainty quantification techniques beyond conformal prediction. For instance, in Bayesian deep learning, where uncertainty estimates are crucial, the concept of incorporating robustness guarantees and efficiency improvements can be highly beneficial. By integrating similar frameworks that provide provable robustness and enhance efficiency, Bayesian models can offer more reliable uncertainty estimates in the presence of adversarial perturbations or noisy data. Additionally, these ideas can be extended to ensemble methods, meta-learning approaches, or other probabilistic modeling techniques to enhance their robustness and efficiency in uncertainty quantification tasks.
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