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Predicting Student Performance in Introductory Programming Courses Using Programming Error Measures


Concepts de base
Programming error measures, such as Error Count, Jadud's Error Quotient, and Repeated Error Density, can be used to predict student performance on exams in introductory programming courses, with Jadud's Error Quotient being the best predictor.
Résumé

This study examined the relationships between students' rate of programming errors and their grades on two exams in an introductory Java programming course. Data were collected from 280 students using an online integrated development environment, including 51,095 code snapshots with compiler and runtime errors.

Three error measures were explored to identify the best measure for explaining variability in exam grades:

  1. Error Count (EC): The total number of compiler or runtime errors a student made.
  2. Jadud's Error Quotient (EQ): A measure that quantifies the degree of repeated compiler errors in consecutive compilation events.
  3. Repeated Error Density (RED): A measure that captures differences between students' errors at a more granular level than EQ.

The results showed that models utilizing EQ outperformed the models using the other two measures, in terms of the explained variability in grades and Bayesian Information Criterion. Compiler errors were significant predictors of exam 1 grades, which focused on introductory programming topics, but only runtime errors significantly predicted exam 2 grades, which covered more complex topics.

Overall, the error measures did not explain most of the observed variability in exam grades, suggesting that other factors, such as students' problem-solving strategies and background knowledge, may play a significant role in determining performance in introductory programming courses.

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Stats
Compiler errors were significant predictors of exam 1 grades. Runtime errors were significant predictors of exam 2 grades.
Citations
"Programming error measures, such as Error Count, Jadud's Error Quotient, and Repeated Error Density, can be used to predict student performance on exams in introductory programming courses, with Jadud's Error Quotient being the best predictor." "Compiler errors were significant predictors of exam 1 grades, which focused on introductory programming topics, but only runtime errors significantly predicted exam 2 grades, which covered more complex topics."

Questions plus approfondies

How can the predictive power of programming error measures be improved by incorporating additional factors, such as students' problem-solving strategies and background knowledge?

Incorporating additional factors such as students' problem-solving strategies and background knowledge can enhance the predictive power of programming error measures in assessing student performance. By analyzing not just the errors themselves but also how students approach and resolve these errors, educators can gain deeper insights into students' problem-solving skills and cognitive processes. Understanding the strategies students use to debug errors, the time they spend on different types of errors, and the resources they consult can provide valuable information on their learning approaches. Background knowledge is another crucial factor that can influence students' error patterns. Students with prior programming experience or a strong foundation in related concepts may exhibit different error behaviors compared to novices. By considering students' background knowledge levels, educators can tailor interventions and support to address specific gaps in understanding or misconceptions. To improve predictive power, researchers can develop models that combine error measures with data on problem-solving strategies and background knowledge. Machine learning algorithms can be employed to analyze a wide range of variables and identify patterns that contribute to student success. By integrating these additional factors into the analysis, educators can create more comprehensive models for predicting student performance in programming courses.

What are the potential limitations of using programming error measures to assess student performance, and how can these limitations be addressed?

While programming error measures provide valuable insights into students' coding proficiency, they also have limitations that need to be considered when assessing student performance. One limitation is that error measures may not capture the full spectrum of students' problem-solving abilities. Students may exhibit different error patterns based on factors such as cognitive processes, learning styles, and familiarity with the programming language. Relying solely on error counts or types may oversimplify the complexity of students' programming skills. Another limitation is the context-specific nature of error measures. Different programming tasks, languages, and environments can influence the types and frequencies of errors students make. Error measures developed for one context may not be directly applicable to another, limiting their generalizability. Additionally, error measures may not account for external factors that impact student performance, such as motivation, engagement, and prior knowledge. To address these limitations, researchers can explore the integration of multiple data sources and methodologies. Combining error measures with qualitative data, such as student interviews or observations, can provide a more holistic understanding of students' programming abilities. Researchers can also conduct longitudinal studies to track students' progress over time and identify patterns in their error behaviors. By adopting a multi-faceted approach to assessing student performance, educators can gain a more comprehensive view of students' strengths and areas for improvement.

How can the insights from this study be applied to the design of more effective instructional strategies and interventions in introductory programming courses?

The insights from this study can be valuable for designing more effective instructional strategies and interventions in introductory programming courses. Educators can use the findings to tailor their teaching approaches and support mechanisms to better meet the needs of diverse learners. Here are some ways the insights can be applied: Personalized Feedback: By understanding the relationship between error measures and student performance, educators can provide targeted feedback to students based on their specific error patterns. This personalized feedback can help students address their weaknesses and improve their problem-solving skills. Early Intervention: Identifying common error patterns early in the semester can enable educators to intervene proactively and provide additional support to students who are struggling. By addressing these challenges promptly, educators can prevent students from falling behind and improve overall course outcomes. Curriculum Adaptation: Insights from the study can inform curriculum design by highlighting areas where students commonly encounter difficulties. Educators can adjust the course content, assignments, and assessments to address these challenges and enhance student learning outcomes. Resource Allocation: Understanding the factors that influence student performance can help educators allocate resources effectively. By focusing on interventions that have the most significant impact on student success, educators can optimize their teaching strategies and support mechanisms. Overall, applying the insights from this study to instructional design can lead to more engaging, effective, and supportive learning experiences for students in introductory programming courses.
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