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Robust Utility Optimization via GAN Approach for Realistic Market Settings


Core Concepts
Proposing a GAN approach for robust utility optimization in realistic market settings.
Abstract

The article introduces a generative adversarial network (GAN) approach to solve robust utility optimization problems in general and realistic settings. It models both the investor and the market by neural networks, training them in a mini-max zero-sum game. The method is applicable for any continuous utility function and in realistic market settings with trading costs. The study shows that the trained path-dependent strategies do not outperform Markovian ones and uncovers universally applicable alternatives to well-known asymptotic strategies of idealized settings.

  1. Introduction:
  • Uncertainty in financial markets necessitates robust utility optimization.
  • Balancing returns and risk is crucial for rational decision-making.
  • Robust utility maximization involves a zero-sum game between trader and market.
  1. Preliminaries:
  • Financial market model with risky assets and risk-free rate considered.
  • Agent trades using portfolio weights, dynamics governed by asset values.
  • Robust portfolio optimization problem formulated as a min-max game.
  1. Deep Robust Utility Optimization:
  • Discrete-time market setting introduced for approximating solutions.
  • GAN-based algorithm proposed for approximating solutions under constraints.
  • Training process outlined with generator and discriminator networks.
  1. Experiments:
  • Various scenarios tested, including friction-less settings with analytic solutions.
  • Performance evaluated against optimal strategies, showing promising results.
  • Impact of transaction costs analyzed, demonstrating improved performance with higher costs.
  1. Evaluation Criterion:
  • Metrics proposed to assess robustness and quality of trained models.
  • Early stopping criteria based on reference market models implemented.
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Stats
In this work, we propose a generative adversarial network (GAN) approach to (approximately) solve robust utility optimization problems in general and realistic settings. Whenever an optimal reference strategy is available, our method performs on par with it... With advances in deep learning (DL), new techniques have been developed for solving control problems under entirely general constraints... For these sorts of problems, generative adversarial network (GAN) approaches seem particularly well suited... Through robust approaches, GANs have progressed into mathematical finance as well... For simplicity, we speak of the GAN approach or GAN strategies even if we fix the market dynamics... One major advantage of the GAN approach to (robust) utility optimization is that it is universally applicable across choices of utility functions... We empirically show that the GAN approaches successfully recover the optimal strategies in multi-asset, friction-less markets with log utilities... Our model achieves a very small relative error compared to the analytic solution π∗ satisfying errΣ⋆,µ rel(πNN, π⋆) < 0.2%... In all cases, our model achieves a very small relative error compared to the analytic solution π∗ satisfying errΣ⋆,µ rel(πNN, π⋆) < 0.2%... We consider various stock market settings with different levels of transaction costs... Since no analytic solution is known... Based on the reference model... Noisy Market Models around Reference Market: We generate random noisy market scenarios Σnoisy,j t , µnoisy,j t ... Constant noise: For each j we sample one realization from normal distributions... Non-constant noise: For each j and t we sample one realization from normal distributions... Cumulative noise: For each j we sample a Brownian motion path starting at ˜Σ...
Quotes
"In particular, this allows us to apply our method to the problem of optimal investment under transaction costs..." "Our model achieves a very small relative error compared to the analytic solution..." "We consider various stock market settings with different levels of transaction costs..."

Key Insights Distilled From

by Florian Krac... at arxiv.org 03-25-2024

https://arxiv.org/pdf/2403.15243.pdf
Robust Utility Optimization via a GAN Approach

Deeper Inquiries

How does incorporating transaction costs affect the performance of the proposed GAN approach

Incorporating transaction costs can have a significant impact on the performance of the proposed GAN approach in robust utility optimization. Transaction costs introduce additional constraints and complexities to the trading strategies generated by the GAN model. The presence of transaction costs can lead to adjustments in portfolio weights, affecting the overall risk-return profile of the investment strategy. Specifically, when transaction costs are included, the GAN model needs to optimize not only for maximizing returns but also for minimizing trading expenses. This requires a more nuanced approach in balancing risk and reward, as excessive trading can erode profits due to transaction fees. The GAN algorithm must learn to navigate these trade-offs effectively to generate robust investment strategies that perform well under real-world market conditions with transaction costs. Additionally, incorporating transaction costs may require adjustments in the training process of the GAN model. Strategies need to be optimized considering both market dynamics and cost implications, which could influence convergence speed and stability during training.

What are potential limitations or challenges when applying path-wise penalties in robust utility optimization

Applying path-wise penalties in robust utility optimization introduces several potential limitations and challenges: Computational Complexity: Path-wise penalties involve evaluating functional constraints over entire paths rather than at individual time points. This increases computational complexity as it requires analyzing multiple data points simultaneously. Data Requirement: Path-wise penalties rely on observed data paths or historical information for penalty estimation. Obtaining accurate and relevant data for constructing meaningful path-wise penalties can be challenging. Interpretability: Interpreting results from models trained with path-wise penalties may be more complex compared to pointwise penalization methods since they consider dynamic changes along paths rather than isolated time points. Overfitting Risk: There is a risk of overfitting when using path-wise penalties if models become too tailored to specific historical paths instead of generalizing well across different scenarios. Optimization Challenges: Optimizing models with path-dependent constraints may pose challenges related to convergence speed, local optima trapping, and sensitivity analysis due to increased complexity in constraint satisfaction.

How might advancements in deep learning further enhance robust utility optimization methods

Advancements in deep learning offer several opportunities for enhancing robust utility optimization methods: Improved Model Flexibility: Advanced deep learning architectures such as recurrent neural networks (RNNs) or transformers provide greater flexibility in capturing temporal dependencies and complex patterns within financial data sets. 2..Enhanced Generalization Abilities: Techniques like transfer learning enable models trained on one dataset or task to be adapted efficiently for new datasets or tasks without extensive retraining. 3..Better Uncertainty Quantification: Bayesian deep learning approaches allow for probabilistic modeling that captures uncertainty inherent in financial markets more accurately. 4..Efficient Hyperparameter Tuning: Automated machine learning tools streamline hyperparameter tuning processes, optimizing model performance while reducing manual effort. 5..Interpretability Enhancements: Advances such as attention mechanisms help improve interpretability by highlighting important features influencing model predictions These advancements collectively contribute towards developing more effective and reliable robust utility optimization techniques capable of handling diverse market conditions while improving decision-making processes for investors."""
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