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Convergence-Aware Online Model Selection for Large Language Models


Core Concepts
The authors propose a time-increasing bandit algorithm, TI-UCB, to balance exploration and exploitation in online model selection. The algorithm effectively predicts the increase of model performances due to training or finetuning and captures converging points of models.
Abstract

The content discusses the challenges in selecting large language models (LLMs) online, introduces the TI-UCB algorithm for efficient model selection, and evaluates its performance in synthetic and real-world environments. The algorithm aims to balance exploration and exploitation while considering increasing-then-converging trends in LLM performances.

Web-based applications like chatbots and search engines are adopting large language models (LLMs), leading to increased attention on online model selection. Traditional methods are becoming impractical due to rising costs of training LLMs. Recent works leverage bandit algorithms for model selection but overlook increasing-then-converging trends in model performances during iterative finetuning.

TI-UCB is proposed as a solution to efficiently predict performance increases and capture converging points of LLMs during online selection. The algorithm achieves a logarithmic regret upper bound in typical increasing bandit settings, demonstrating fast convergence rates. Empirical validation shows the importance of utilizing increasing-then-converging patterns for more efficient model selection in LLM deployment.

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Stats
Organizations face decisions like whether to employ costly API-based LLMs or locally finetuned small LLMs. GPT-3 Davinci has 175 billion parameters. T5 Small has 60 million parameters. GPT-2 Medium has 355 million parameters. The XSum dataset contains 204,045 text-summary pairs.
Quotes
"In this paper, we propose a time-increasing bandit algorithm TI-UCB." "Our results highlight the importance of utilizing increasing-then-converging pattern for more efficient and economic model selection."

Deeper Inquiries

How can organizations effectively balance cost and performance when choosing between API-based LLMs and locally finetuned small LLMs

Organizations can effectively balance cost and performance when choosing between API-based LLMs and locally finetuned small LLMs by considering several key factors. Firstly, they should assess the specific requirements of their tasks or projects. If the task requires high computational power, extensive resources, or specialized features that are only available in API-based LLMs, then the higher cost may be justified for optimal performance. On the other hand, if the task can be adequately handled by a locally finetuned small LLM with acceptable performance levels, organizations can opt for this more cost-effective solution. Secondly, organizations should conduct a thorough cost-benefit analysis to compare the expenses associated with using an API-based LLM versus a locally finetuned small LLM. This analysis should take into account not only the initial costs but also ongoing operational costs such as maintenance, scalability, and potential future upgrades. Additionally, organizations could consider hybrid approaches where they use both types of models strategically based on specific project needs. For instance, utilizing an API-based LLM for high-demand tasks requiring real-time responses while relying on locally finetuned small LLMs for less critical or resource-intensive applications. By carefully evaluating these factors and aligning them with their business objectives and budget constraints, organizations can make informed decisions to effectively balance cost and performance when selecting between API-based LLMs and locally finetuned small LLMs.

What potential limitations or biases could arise from using ROUGE scores as rewards in the context of text summarization tasks

Using ROUGE scores as rewards in text summarization tasks may introduce certain limitations or biases that need to be considered: Limited Evaluation Scope: ROUGE scores primarily focus on measuring overlap between generated summaries and reference summaries based on n-gram matches without considering semantic understanding or coherence. Biased Towards Extractive Summaries: Since ROUGE is based on matching sequences of words rather than assessing overall content quality or fluency of generated summaries; it might favor extractive summarization methods over abstractive ones. Sensitivity to Reference Summaries: The choice of reference summaries used in calculating ROUGE scores can significantly impact results; different references may lead to varying evaluations which could introduce bias. Lack of Human-like Assessment: While ROUGE provides automated evaluation metrics which are efficient for large-scale assessments; it does not capture human-like judgment regarding summary readability or informativeness accurately. To mitigate these limitations when using ROUGE scores as rewards in text summarization tasks; it's essential to complement them with additional evaluation methods like human assessment studies or domain-specific metrics that provide a more comprehensive view of summary quality beyond just lexical overlap.

How might external factors such as market demand impact the decision-making process when selecting large language models

External factors such as market demand play a crucial role in influencing decision-making processes when selecting large language models (LLMs) due to various reasons: Scalability Requirements: High market demand often necessitates scalable solutions that can handle increased workloads efficiently without compromising performance; impacting choices towards larger models capable of meeting demands effectively. Competitive Edge: Organizations aiming to stay competitive within saturated markets may prioritize advanced AI technologies like state-of-the-art LMMs offering superior capabilities over competitors' offerings. Cost Considerations: Market demand fluctuations directly influence pricing strategies related to AI services including usage fees for cloud-hosted APIs vs local model deployment costs; leading companies towards economically viable options aligned with current market conditions. 4 .User Expectations & Trends: Understanding user preferences driven by market trends is vital since consumer expectations shape product/service offerings leveraging cutting-edge technologies like advanced language models catering to evolving demands efficiently. In conclusion ,market demand acts as a significant external factor shaping decision-making processes around large language model selection by influencing scalability needs,cost considerations,user expectations,and maintaining competitive advantages within dynamic industry landscapes..
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