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Code Revert Prediction with Graph Neural Networks: A Case Study at J.P. Morgan Chase


Core Concepts
Code revert prediction aims to forecast the likelihood of code changes being rolled back, crucial for improving code quality and development processes.
Abstract

Code revert prediction is a specialized form of defect detection that forecasts the probability of code changes being reverted during software development. This study integrates code import graphs with features and explores strategies like imbalance classification and anomaly detection. The research focuses on real-world industrial environments, addressing challenges like limited features and large-scale codebases. Different approaches are compared, including traditional classifiers, anomaly detection methods, and imbalance classification techniques using graph neural networks (GNNs). Experimental results show the impact of imbalanced data distribution on prediction performance and highlight the importance of tailored approaches for code revert prediction.

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Stats
Revert frequency last 30 days: 0.570 File version: 0.326 Commit to push lag days: 0.188 Total lines of code in push set: 0.151 Total Cyclomatic complexity: 0.100 Number of unique contributors: 0.082 Number of dependent modules: 0.063 Number of files in push set: 0.014
Quotes
"Early prediction of code reversion effectively mitigates potential risks." "Research on code revert prediction remains scarce in software engineering." "Graph neural networks have been explored for defect detection using graphs."

Key Insights Distilled From

by Yulong Pei,S... at arxiv.org 03-15-2024

https://arxiv.org/pdf/2403.09507.pdf
Code Revert Prediction with Graph Neural Networks

Deeper Inquiries

How can the findings from this study be applied to other industries beyond software development

The findings from this study on code revert prediction with Graph Neural Networks can be applied to various industries beyond software development. For instance: Finance: Banks and financial institutions can utilize similar techniques to predict risky transactions or fraudulent activities, enhancing security measures. Healthcare: Predicting potential patient readmissions or identifying high-risk cases could improve healthcare outcomes and resource allocation. Manufacturing: Anticipating equipment failures or production issues based on historical data can optimize maintenance schedules and prevent downtime. By adapting the methodology of integrating graph structures with machine learning models, different industries can proactively address challenges specific to their domain by predicting undesirable events before they occur.

What are the potential drawbacks or limitations of relying solely on graph neural networks for code revert prediction

Relying solely on graph neural networks for code revert prediction may have some drawbacks or limitations: Limited Interpretability: GNNs are often considered black-box models, making it challenging to interpret how they arrive at a particular prediction. This lack of transparency can hinder understanding and trust in the model's decisions. Data Dependency: GNNs heavily rely on the structure of the input graph data. If there are inaccuracies or noise in the graph construction process, it could lead to suboptimal predictions. Scalability Concerns: Training complex GNN architectures on large-scale graphs might require significant computational resources and time, potentially limiting real-time applications. To mitigate these limitations, a hybrid approach combining GNNs with interpretable models or post-hoc explainability techniques could provide more insights into the model's decision-making process.

How might explainability be improved in black-box models like neural networks for better understanding predictions

Improving explainability in black-box models like neural networks for better understanding predictions is crucial for gaining trust and insights into model behavior. Some strategies to enhance explainability include: Feature Importance Analysis: Conducting feature importance analysis using methods like SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) or LIME (Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations) helps understand which features contribute most significantly to predictions. Layer-wise Relevance Propagation (LRP): Implementing LRP techniques allows tracing back individual neuron contributions in each layer of a neural network, providing insight into how inputs influence outputs. Attention Mechanisms: Utilizing attention mechanisms within neural networks enables highlighting important parts of input data that drive predictions, offering a form of interpretability. By incorporating these approaches alongside neural network training processes, we can achieve greater transparency and comprehensibility in model decisions.
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