Core Concepts
머신러닝 모델의 예측 불확실성을 효과적으로 추정하는 예측 강성 체계 소개
Abstract
회귀 모델의 불확실성 추정의 중요성 강조
머신러닝 모델의 불확실성 추정 방법 소개
불확실성 추정 방법의 효과적인 적용 사례 제시
머신러닝 모델의 불확실성 추정을 위한 새로운 접근 방식 소개
머신러닝 모델의 불확실성 추정을 위한 예측 강성 체계의 장점과 특징 설명
Stats
"state-of-the-art uncertainty quantification methods based on ensembles [5] are several times more expensive to train and evaluate than single neural networks"
"deep ensembles [5] have shown to afford state-of-the-art uncertainty predictions on both in-domain [5, 7, 27] and out-of-domain [5, 28] evaluation"
"the proposed approach is able to generate uncertainty estimates through a single forward pass of the neural network"
Quotes
"Machine learning is having a large impact on many fields, from the recognition and generation of text, images and speech to applications in science, engineering and daily life tasks."
"Our method allows to obtain a posteriori uncertainty estimates for any trained regressor, as demonstrated for polynomial, Gaussian, and neural network fits."
"last-layer prediction rigidities constitute a very promising method to estimate uncertainties in arbitrary neural networks with minimal human and computational effort."