This study examines the limitations of risk assessment data in predicting child welfare outcomes. It highlights the challenges of using quantitative models and suggests a shift towards incorporating contextual case narratives for a more comprehensive understanding of cases.
Researchers deconstructed risk assessment data and casenotes to compare their predictive validity. The study found that risk assessment scores were unable to predict discharge outcomes accurately, while casenotes provided contextual signals but were not suitable for predictive tasks.
The findings suggest that relying solely on risk assessment data may flatten case complexities and lead to biased predictions. Using computational text analysis on casenotes can unveil nuanced details but may not be appropriate for predictive tasks due to individual biases in writing styles.
Overall, the study emphasizes the importance of considering both quantitative data and qualitative narratives in understanding child welfare cases comprehensively.
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by Erina Seh-Yo... alle arxiv.org 03-12-2024
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2403.05573.pdfDomande più approfondite