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Improved Prophet Inequalities via Poissonization and Sharding


Concetti Chiave
This work introduces sharding and Poissonization as a unified framework for analyzing and improving upon prophet inequalities. The framework simplifies proofs and refines the competitive ratio analysis of several well-studied prophet inequalities.
Sintesi
The key ideas in this work are: Poissonization: Modeling the random variables using Poisson distributions to simplify probability calculations. Showing that as the number of "shards" (subdivisions) of each random variable goes to infinity, the distribution of the shards can be approximated by a Poisson distribution. Sharding: Splitting each random variable into multiple independent "shards" that collectively mimic the original variable's behavior. Using the Poisson approximation of the shards to bound the competitive ratio of various prophet inequality algorithms. The framework is applied to improve the analysis of several prophet inequality problems: Top-1-of-k prophet inequality: Significantly improves the lower and upper bounds for small values of k (e.g., k=2,3,4). Provides a new asymptotic bound for general k that is tighter than previous results. Prophet secretary problem: Raises the lower bound on the competitive ratio from 0.669 to 0.6724. IID Semi-Online prophet inequality: Improves the lower bound on the competitive ratio from 0.869 to 0.89. Semi-Online-Load-Minimization (SOLM) problem: Achieves a 1-o(1) competitive ratio with O(log*n) load, improving the previous O(log n) bound. The framework also provides simpler proofs for several known results in the literature, unifying the analysis.
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Approfondimenti chiave tratti da

by Elfarouk Har... alle arxiv.org 04-05-2024

https://arxiv.org/pdf/2307.00971.pdf
New Prophet Inequalities via Poissonization and Sharding

Domande più approfondite

How can the Poissonization and sharding framework be extended to analyze prophet inequality problems with additional constraints, such as matroid or knapsack constraints

The Poissonization and sharding framework can be extended to analyze prophet inequality problems with additional constraints, such as matroid or knapsack constraints, by adapting the approach to suit the specific constraints involved. For example, in the case of matroid constraints, where the gambler is restricted to selecting a set of independent variables, the Poissonization and sharding framework can be utilized to model the selection process. By breaking down the variables into shards and using Poisson distributions to approximate their behavior, the framework can help analyze the optimal selection strategy under matroid constraints. The key would be to define the shards and thresholds in a way that aligns with the constraints imposed by the matroid structure. Similarly, for knapsack constraints where the gambler has a limited capacity to select variables based on their values, the framework can be adapted to incorporate the capacity constraint. By setting thresholds and defining the shards in a manner that respects the knapsack capacity, the framework can provide insights into the optimal selection strategy that maximizes the reward while staying within the capacity limit. In essence, the Poissonization and sharding framework can be extended to handle a variety of constraints by customizing the approach to suit the specific requirements of the problem at hand.

Can the framework be applied to other online optimization problems beyond prophet inequalities, such as secretary problems or online matching

The Poissonization and sharding framework can indeed be applied to other online optimization problems beyond prophet inequalities, such as secretary problems or online matching. For secretary problems, where the gambler must make decisions based on partial information and aim to select the best option, the framework can help in analyzing the optimal decision-making strategy. By using Poissonization to model the distribution of values and sharding to break down the variables into manageable components, the framework can provide insights into how to maximize the expected reward in secretary problems. In the case of online matching problems, where entities need to be matched in real-time based on certain criteria, the framework can be used to analyze the matching process. By applying Poissonization to model the matching probabilities and sharding to handle the complexities of the matching process, the framework can offer a unified analytical approach to optimizing online matching strategies. Overall, the Poissonization and sharding techniques can be valuable tools in tackling a wide range of online optimization problems beyond prophet inequalities, providing a unified framework for analysis and decision-making.

Are there other applications of the Poisson approximation and sharding techniques outside of the prophet inequality domain that could benefit from this unified analytical approach

The Poisson approximation and sharding techniques have applications beyond the prophet inequality domain that could benefit from this unified analytical approach. One potential application is in online resource allocation problems, where resources need to be allocated dynamically to maximize efficiency. By using Poissonization to model the availability of resources and sharding to break down the allocation process into smaller components, the framework can help in optimizing resource allocation strategies in real-time. Another application could be in online auction settings, where bidders need to make decisions based on uncertain information. The Poissonization and sharding framework can be utilized to model bidder behavior and auction dynamics, providing insights into optimal bidding strategies and auction outcomes. Additionally, the techniques could be applied to online advertising optimization, where ads need to be displayed to users in real-time to maximize click-through rates. By leveraging Poissonization to model user behavior and sharding to analyze ad placements, the framework can assist in optimizing ad delivery strategies for better performance. In essence, the Poisson approximation and sharding techniques offer a versatile and powerful analytical approach that can be applied to various online optimization problems beyond prophet inequalities, enhancing decision-making and strategy development in dynamic environments.
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