핵심 개념
Modeling urban population mobility using mobile phone data to address epidemic modeling gaps.
초록
This study focuses on estimating mobility patterns and time fractions spent in different areas using a Brownian bridge model. The research aims to fill the practical gap in epidemic modeling based on patches, providing insights into human activities and dynamics during the COVID-19 pandemic in Hermosillo, Mexico. The methodology involves estimating residence and occupation matrices to assess the impact of urban mobility changes on epidemic evolution.
Structure:
- Introduction:
- Importance of understanding mobility patterns for various phenomena.
- Background:
- Significance of human mobility records for predicting future locations.
- Data:
- Geographic and demographic information of Hermosillo city.
- Methods:
- Residence selection algorithm and Brownian bridge model explanation.
- Results:
- Data filtering process and estimation of residence and occupation matrices for Hermosillo.
- Multi-patch Epidemic Model with Mobility and Residency:
- Incorporating mobility dynamics into infectious disease modeling.
통계
80,582,452 records used for estimation.
Population of Hermosillo: 936,263 inhabitants.