핵심 개념
Conformal prediction sets' expected size is crucial for practical utility and can be theoretically quantified and empirically estimated.
초록
The article discusses the importance of the expected size of conformal prediction sets and the challenges in quantifying it. It introduces theoretical quantification methods and empirical estimation procedures. The content is structured as follows:
Abstract
Introduction
Background on Conformal Prediction Framework
Theoretical Quantification of Expected Set Size
Insights on Non-Conformity Function and User Parameters
Conditional Expectation Analysis
Practical Estimation Methods
Experimental Results on Real-world Datasets
통계
"The expected size of the prediction sets under the split conformal prediction framework."
"The significance level α set to 0.1."
"The number of trials and success probability for the binomial random variable."
"The empirical approximation of ˜PR(r) for all r ∈ R."
인용구
"The sizes of the prediction sets are of significant relevance in practice."
"The split conformal framework satisfies Equation (1), but the quality of the prediction sets constructed depends on the data distribution and the machine learning model used."