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Personalized Forgetting Mechanism with Hierarchical Knowledge Concept Tracing for Improved Student Performance Prediction


核心概念
The core message of this paper is to propose a Concept-driven Personalized Forgetting knowledge tracing (CPF) model that integrates students' personalized cognitive abilities into both the learning and forgetting processes, and also considers the hierarchical relationships between knowledge concepts to capture the causal relationships in the forgetting process.
摘要

The paper presents a novel Concept-driven Personalized Forgetting knowledge tracing (CPF) model that addresses the limitations of existing forgetting curve theory-based knowledge tracing models. The key highlights are:

  1. Personalized Learning Module:
  • Incorporates students' personalized cognitive abilities (e.g., problem difficulty, answer time, correct accuracy) into the modeling of both the learning and forgetting processes.
  • Explicitly distinguishes students' individual learning gains and forgetting rates according to their cognitive abilities.
  1. Causal Forgetting Module:
  • Designs a precursor-successor knowledge concept matrix to capture the hierarchical relationships and causal relationships between knowledge concepts.
  • Integrates the potential impact of forgetting prior knowledge points on subsequent ones.
  • Simulates the forgetting-review mechanism by computing the similarity of adjacent knowledge states to update the forgetting gate.
  1. Extensive experiments on three public datasets demonstrate that the proposed CPF model outperforms current forgetting curve theory-based methods in predicting student performance, indicating its ability to better simulate changes in students' knowledge status through the personalized forgetting mechanism.
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統計資料
The average length of the interaction sequence in the ASSIST2012 dataset is 93.45. The average length of the interaction sequence in the ASSISTchall dataset is 551.68. The average length of the interaction sequence in the EdNet-KT1 dataset is 125.45.
引述
"Existing knowledge tracing (KT) models have achieved tremendous success in predicting students' performance. However, there is still a significant limitation that they fail to consider the personalized cognitive processes of students and the causal relationships of the forgetting process." "To better understand the causal relationship between personalized learning and the forgetting process of students, in this paper, we propose a Concept-driven Personalized Forgetting knowledge tracing (CPF) model."

從以下內容提煉的關鍵洞見

by Shanshan Wan... arxiv.org 04-19-2024

https://arxiv.org/pdf/2404.12127.pdf
Personalized Forgetting Mechanism with Concept-Driven Knowledge Tracing

深入探究

How can the proposed CPF model be extended to incorporate other factors, such as social interactions or learning environment, to further improve the accuracy of student performance prediction

The CPF model can be extended to incorporate other factors, such as social interactions or the learning environment, to further enhance the accuracy of student performance prediction. By integrating social interactions, the model can consider collaborative learning scenarios where students work together on tasks or projects. This can provide valuable insights into how students interact with each other, share knowledge, and learn from their peers. By incorporating social network analysis techniques, the CPF model can analyze the influence of social interactions on individual learning outcomes and adjust predictions accordingly. Furthermore, considering the learning environment can also contribute to improving prediction accuracy. Factors such as the availability of resources, classroom dynamics, teaching methods, and technological tools can significantly impact student performance. By including data on the learning environment in the model, such as classroom settings, teaching styles, and access to educational resources, the CPF model can adapt its predictions based on the specific conditions in which students are learning. This contextual information can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the factors influencing student learning and performance. By integrating social interactions and learning environment data into the CPF model, a more holistic view of student learning can be obtained, leading to more accurate performance predictions and personalized recommendations for students.

What are the potential challenges and limitations of the causal forgetting mechanism based on the hierarchical relationships between knowledge concepts, and how can they be addressed

The causal forgetting mechanism based on hierarchical relationships between knowledge concepts in the CPF model may face certain challenges and limitations that need to be addressed for optimal performance. Some potential challenges and limitations include: Complexity of Knowledge Structures: Hierarchical relationships between knowledge concepts can be intricate and multifaceted, making it challenging to accurately capture all dependencies. As the number of knowledge concepts and their relationships increase, the complexity of the causal forgetting mechanism also grows, potentially leading to computational inefficiencies. Data Quality and Availability: The effectiveness of the causal forgetting mechanism relies heavily on the quality and availability of data regarding the relationships between knowledge concepts. Incomplete or inaccurate data can lead to biased predictions and hinder the model's performance. Interpretability and Explainability: Understanding and interpreting the causal relationships between knowledge concepts may be challenging for educators and stakeholders. Ensuring the model's outputs are explainable and transparent is crucial for gaining trust and acceptance in educational settings. To address these challenges and limitations, several strategies can be implemented: Simplify Knowledge Structures: Simplifying the hierarchical relationships between knowledge concepts by focusing on the most relevant and impactful dependencies can help reduce complexity and improve model performance. Data Augmentation and Cleaning: Enhancing data quality through augmentation techniques and rigorous data cleaning processes can help ensure the accuracy and completeness of the knowledge concept relationships. Visualization and Explanation Tools: Developing visualization tools and explanation mechanisms to illustrate the causal relationships identified by the model can enhance interpretability and facilitate understanding for educators and users. By addressing these challenges and limitations, the causal forgetting mechanism in the CPF model can be optimized for more accurate and reliable predictions of student performance.

How can the insights gained from the personalized forgetting mechanism in the CPF model be leveraged to develop more adaptive and personalized learning strategies for students

The insights gained from the personalized forgetting mechanism in the CPF model can be leveraged to develop more adaptive and personalized learning strategies for students. By understanding each student's individual learning abilities, strengths, and weaknesses, educators can tailor their teaching approaches to meet the specific needs of each student. Here are some ways to leverage these insights: Adaptive Learning Paths: Using the personalized forgetting rates and cognitive abilities of students, adaptive learning systems can dynamically adjust the difficulty and pacing of learning materials. Students who tend to forget quickly may benefit from more frequent reviews, while those with strong retention may progress faster through the curriculum. Personalized Feedback and Remediation: Based on the personalized forgetting rates, educators can provide targeted feedback and remediation strategies to help students reinforce their weak areas. By identifying specific knowledge points that students struggle to retain, personalized interventions can be designed to address these challenges effectively. Individualized Study Plans: By incorporating the personalized forgetting mechanism into the development of individualized study plans, students can receive customized learning paths that optimize their retention and mastery of key concepts. This tailored approach can enhance student engagement and motivation by aligning learning activities with their unique learning profiles. Continuous Monitoring and Adjustment: Regularly monitoring students' knowledge states and adapting learning strategies based on their personalized forgetting rates can ensure ongoing improvement and long-term retention of knowledge. By continuously adjusting the learning process to accommodate individual learning needs, educators can foster a more effective and personalized learning experience for students. By leveraging the insights from the personalized forgetting mechanism in the CPF model, educators can create a more adaptive, engaging, and effective learning environment that caters to the diverse needs and abilities of each student.
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