核心概念
The author argues that understanding macro trends, specifically the implosion of democracy worldwide, is crucial in assessing the potential outcomes of Trump's re-election bid. By highlighting alarming statistics on democratic decline, the author challenges conventional micro-level analysis.
摘要
In discussing the possibility of Trump's re-election, the author shifts focus from traditional micro-level analysis to macro trends, particularly the global decline of democracy. Emphasizing the importance of understanding broader societal shifts, the author presents compelling arguments supported by alarming statistics that suggest a significant deterioration in democratic values worldwide.
統計資料
"We have a kind of cognitive bias when it comes to thinking about democracy — we overestimate, badly, just how much of the world is democratic."
"Political scientists call it “backsliding,” but when I quote the actual statistics to you, as I’m about to do, you’ll soon see why I call this macro trend “implosion.”
引述
"Oh, there goes Umair, being hyperbolic again!"
"And you’re going to learn a few striking facts along the way."