Core Concepts
Implementing HPV-based screening and improving vaccination coverage and screening participation rates could enable British Columbia to eliminate cervical cancer by 2031.
Abstract
The article discusses a modeling study that examined the potential for British Columbia (BC) to eliminate cervical cancer within the next 20 years. The key findings are:
With the current cytology-based screening approach and no changes to vaccination or screening participation rates, BC would not eliminate cervical cancer until 2045.
Transitioning to HPV-based screening at the current 70% participation rate would achieve elimination by 2034 and prevent 942 cases compared to cytology screening.
Increasing the proportion of patients ever screened or increasing vaccination coverage to 90% would result in elimination by 2033.
A combination of three strategies - improving recruitment, on-time screening, and follow-up compliance - could shorten the timeline to elimination by 2031.
Reaching historically underscreened, equity-seeking populations through mailed self-screening HPV tests is essential to achieve this goal.
The low incidence of cervical cancer in Canada is due to organized screening programs, but strained systems and lower participation rates are leading to more cases of invasive cervical cancer, especially in younger women.
Community outreach and self-screening options can help boost participation and follow-up, particularly for at-risk populations with access, interest, and education barriers.
Stats
Cervical cancer accounts for 1.3% of all new female cancers and 1.1% of all female cancer deaths in Canada.
With the status quo, British Columbia would not eliminate cervical cancer until 2045.
Implementing HPV-based screening at the current 70% participation rate would achieve elimination in 2034 and prevent 942 cases compared to cytology screening.
Increasing the proportion of patients ever screened or vaccination coverage to 90% would result in elimination by 2033.
A combination of improving recruitment, on-time screening, and follow-up compliance could shorten the timeline to elimination by 2031.
Quotes
"In BC, we have a school-based program to increase vaccine coverage in boys and girls starting in grade 6."
"Self-screening is another tool that can incrementally benefit those folks who wouldn't otherwise undergo screening or don't want an invasive test."
"There have been discussions about making the big transition from traditional cytology to implementing HPV self-screening."